Area Forecast Discussion

FXUS62 KTAE 221932
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
332 PM EDT Thu Mar 22 2018
.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
As a low level ridge of high pressure slides into the southeast 
overnight, expect lighter winds and mostly clear skies. Low 
temperatures will be below normal once again overnight, dipping into 
the mid 30s to low 40s over much of the area, mid 40s along the 
Panhandle coastline. 
.SHORT TERM [Friday Through Saturday Night]...
Upper level trough axis is situated to the east with an upper
level ridge building into the central CONUS. This will keep the 
mid to upper levels in northwest flow. Meanwhile at the surface, 
high pressure slides across the area on Friday with moisture 
increasing on Saturday as the center of the high shifts into the 
Atlantic and low level winds become southerly. This will help to 
warm temperatures from the upper 60s to lower 70s on Friday into 
the mid to upper 70s on Saturday. Lows in the mid 40s Friday night
will increase into the upper 50s to mid 60s on Saturday. While 
Friday and Saturday will be dry, low end precipitation chances 
(20%) will return to the northern portion of the CWA Saturday 
night as moisture increases and a front across the southeast sinks
.LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday]...
Front will sink southward on Sunday bringing a chance of rain to
the northern portion of the CWA. Wedge will build into the
southeast with cloudy conditions for Monday. In addition, the 
wedge will help to limit high temperatures across the northern 
portion of the CWA to the lower 60s while it will warm into the
lower 70s closer to the coast. As the wedge breaks down and upper
level ridging builds in, high temperatures will warm into the 80s
by mid-week. The next cold front appears to hold off until just
after the long term period. 
.AVIATION [Through 18Z Friday]...
VFR conditions will continue with mostly clear skies. Winds from the 
northwest will occasionally gust to 18-20 kts this afternoon, but 
those will stop around sunset. Winds overnight and tomorrow will be 
much lighter as high pressure moves into the region.
High pressure will slide across the marine area tomorrow and 
bring winds to the northeast on Friday and around to the south by 
Saturday. Small craft exercise caution conditions will occur on 
and off through Saturday night with stronger winds to advisory 
level possible early next week. 
Relative humidity values near critical levels are expected again on 
Friday afternoon before humidity starts to increase on Saturday. 
However, winds are expected to remain low enough to preclude red 
flag conditions.
A few river sites remain in action stage but are cresting or
falling as of this afternoon. While low end rain chances return 
for next week, precipitation amounts are limited and thus flooding
is not anticipated.
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
Tallahassee   39  70  45  76  59 /   0   0   0   0  10 
Panama City   46  67  55  74  64 /   0   0   0   0  10 
Dothan        41  69  48  77  61 /   0   0   0   0  10 
Albany        39  68  46  78  61 /   0   0   0   0  20 
Valdosta      35  68  44  76  57 /   0   0   0   0  10 
Cross City    36  70  43  75  57 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Apalachicola  43  67  52  72  63 /   0   0   0   0  10 
FL...High Rip Current Risk until midnight EDT /11 PM CDT/ tonight for 
     Coastal Gulf.
NEAR TERM...Nguyen