FXUS62 KTAE 221932
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
332 PM EDT Thu Mar 22 2018
.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
As a low level ridge of high pressure slides into the southeast
overnight, expect lighter winds and mostly clear skies. Low
temperatures will be below normal once again overnight, dipping into
the mid 30s to low 40s over much of the area, mid 40s along the
.SHORT TERM [Friday Through Saturday Night]...
Upper level trough axis is situated to the east with an upper
level ridge building into the central CONUS. This will keep the
mid to upper levels in northwest flow. Meanwhile at the surface,
high pressure slides across the area on Friday with moisture
increasing on Saturday as the center of the high shifts into the
Atlantic and low level winds become southerly. This will help to
warm temperatures from the upper 60s to lower 70s on Friday into
the mid to upper 70s on Saturday. Lows in the mid 40s Friday night
will increase into the upper 50s to mid 60s on Saturday. While
Friday and Saturday will be dry, low end precipitation chances
(20%) will return to the northern portion of the CWA Saturday
night as moisture increases and a front across the southeast sinks
.LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday]...
Front will sink southward on Sunday bringing a chance of rain to
the northern portion of the CWA. Wedge will build into the
southeast with cloudy conditions for Monday. In addition, the
wedge will help to limit high temperatures across the northern
portion of the CWA to the lower 60s while it will warm into the
lower 70s closer to the coast. As the wedge breaks down and upper
level ridging builds in, high temperatures will warm into the 80s
by mid-week. The next cold front appears to hold off until just
after the long term period.
.AVIATION [Through 18Z Friday]...
VFR conditions will continue with mostly clear skies. Winds from the
northwest will occasionally gust to 18-20 kts this afternoon, but
those will stop around sunset. Winds overnight and tomorrow will be
much lighter as high pressure moves into the region.
High pressure will slide across the marine area tomorrow and
bring winds to the northeast on Friday and around to the south by
Saturday. Small craft exercise caution conditions will occur on
and off through Saturday night with stronger winds to advisory
level possible early next week.
Relative humidity values near critical levels are expected again on
Friday afternoon before humidity starts to increase on Saturday.
However, winds are expected to remain low enough to preclude red
A few river sites remain in action stage but are cresting or
falling as of this afternoon. While low end rain chances return
for next week, precipitation amounts are limited and thus flooding
is not anticipated.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 39 70 45 76 59 / 0 0 0 0 10
Panama City 46 67 55 74 64 / 0 0 0 0 10
Dothan 41 69 48 77 61 / 0 0 0 0 10
Albany 39 68 46 78 61 / 0 0 0 0 20
Valdosta 35 68 44 76 57 / 0 0 0 0 10
Cross City 36 70 43 75 57 / 0 0 0 0 0
Apalachicola 43 67 52 72 63 / 0 0 0 0 10
FL...High Rip Current Risk until midnight EDT /11 PM CDT/ tonight for